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Have halted by 2015 and begun to
reverse the spread of HIV/AIDS. |
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Halve halted by 2015 and begun to
reverse the incidence of malaria
and other major diseases. |
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| Epidemic diseases
exact a huge toll in
human suffering and lost
opportunities for
development. Poverty,
armed conflict, and
natural disasters
contribute to the spread
of disease and are
worsened by it.
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In Africa the spread of HIV/AIDS has
reversed decades of improvements in life
expectancy and left millions of children
orphaned. It is draining the supply of
teachers and eroding the quality of
education.
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There are 300–500 million cases of
malaria each year, leading to more than
1 million deaths. Nearly all the cases
and more than 95 percent of the deaths
occur in Sub-Saharan Africa. Most deaths
from malaria are among children younger
than five years old. |
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Tuberculosis kills some 2 million people
a year, most of them 15–45 years old.
The disease is spreading more rapidly
because of the emergence of
drug-resistant strains of tuberculosis;
the spread of HIV/AIDS, which reduces
resistance to tuberculosis; and the
growing number of refugees and displaced
people.
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| As the HIV/AIDS epidemic matures, the death toll keeps rising |
Left axis: adult (ages 15–49) HIV prevalence rate (%);
right axis: number of deaths due to AIDS (millions) |
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Source: UNAIDS/WHO 2005. |
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Worldwide, 40 million adults and
children are living with HIV/AIDS and
almost 5 million new infections
occurred in 2005. The adult prevalence
rate has stabilized in Sub-Saharan
Africa and other developing regions,
not because the epidemic has been
halted but because the death rate now
equals the rate of new infections. |
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Although prevalence rates are lower
outside of Sub-Saharan Africa, the
number of people infected is increasing
and so is the death rate. There were
almost a million new cases in South and
East Asia, where more than 7 million
people are now living with HIV/AIDS. |
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| The HIV epidemic can be reversed |
| Model projections of HIV infections in Sub-Saharan Africa (millions) |
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Source: Salomon and others 2005. |
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What will it take to halt and reverse
the HIV epidemic? A combination of effective
treatment and prevention programs.
Antiretroviral therapy is starting
to reach people in poor countries,
although not yet at the levels needed,
and prevention programs have begun to alter behavior. Computer simulations
of the epidemic suggest that a
combination of intensive treatment
and prevention programs would be
most effective in reducing new infections
and averting 10 million deaths
between now and 2020. |
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| Tuberculosis rates on the rise or falling slowly |
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Incidence of tuberculosis (per 100,000 people) |
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Source: World Bank staff estimates. |
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Each year there are 8 million new cases
of tuberculosis— million in South and
East Asia, 2 million in Sub-Saharan Africa,
and more than a quarter million in
countries of the former Soviet Union.
The disease has spread fastest in
poor countries with ineffective health
systems. Poorly managed tuberculosis programs allow drug-resistant strains
to spread. And tuberculosis is often
associated with HIV infections, which
compromise the body’s immune system.
Positive diagnosis, effective treatment,
and follow-up care can achieve
high cure rates, but many cases go
undetected. |
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Malaria is a leading killer in Africa |
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Malaria deaths (per 100,000 people) |
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Source: WHO 1999. |
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Malaria, once widespread, is now largely
a disease of the tropics. It takes its
greatest toll in Sub-Saharan Africa,
where more than million people die
each year, most of them children under
the age of five. Millions more suffer from repeated infections, leaving them
unable to work for weeks at a time.
The World Bank estimates that the
disease has slowed economic growth
in Africa by 1.3 percent a year (World
Bank 2001 ). |
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Poor children bear the burden of malaria |
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Children under age 5 receiving antimalarial treatment (%) |
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Source: World Bank 2005e |
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Malaria is a disease of poverty and a
cause of poverty. Although adults may
experience repeated bouts of the debilitating
disease, children are most likely
to die—more than 2,000 children die
each day because of malaria in Sub-
Saharan Africa. Effective treatment can save lives and reduce the burden
of disease, but in many countries children
in the poorest families do not
receive treatment. Prevention is also
important. The use of insecticide-treated
bednets has been shown to
protect children. |
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